Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000046 0.000050 0.000055 0.000060 0.000065 0.000072 0.000079
2025-11-30 0.000040 0.000045 0.000052 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078 0.000091
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000056 0.000067 0.000080 0.000096
2025-12-14 0.000031 0.000037 0.000044 0.000054 0.000066 0.000081 0.000101
2025-12-21 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000082 0.000105
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000032 0.000039 0.000050 0.000064 0.000082 0.000107
2026-01-04 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000062 0.000082 0.000110
2026-01-11 0.000022 0.000028 0.000036 0.000047 0.000063 0.000084 0.000115
2026-01-18 0.000021 0.000028 0.000036 0.000048 0.000065 0.000089 0.000126
2026-01-25 0.000024 0.000032 0.000042 0.000058 0.000080 0.000113 0.000165
2026-02-01 0.000022 0.000029 0.000040 0.000055 0.000078 0.000111 0.000165
2026-02-08 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000054 0.000077 0.000112 0.000170
2026-02-15 0.000020 0.000027 0.000038 0.000055 0.000080 0.000119 0.000186
2026-02-22 0.000019 0.000026 0.000037 0.000054 0.000081 0.000123 0.000197
2026-03-01 0.000017 0.000024 0.000035 0.000052 0.000078 0.000122 0.000200
2026-03-08 0.000016 0.000023 0.000033 0.000049 0.000076 0.000120 0.000202
2026-03-15 0.000015 0.000021 0.000031 0.000048 0.000075 0.000120 0.000206
2026-03-22 0.000014 0.000020 0.000030 0.000046 0.000072 0.000118 0.000207
2026-03-29 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000044 0.000070 0.000117 0.000208
2026-04-05 0.000012 0.000018 0.000027 0.000043 0.000071 0.000119 0.000217
2026-04-12 0.000012 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000074 0.000127 0.000237
2026-04-19 0.000013 0.000021 0.000032 0.000053 0.000090 0.000162 0.000318
2026-04-26 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000050 0.000087 0.000158 0.000315